Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000198 0.000220 0.000244 0.000272 0.000303 0.000337 0.000378
2025-02-23 0.000156 0.000187 0.000224 0.000271 0.000329 0.000399 0.000491
2025-03-02 0.000131 0.000167 0.000212 0.000272 0.000353 0.000458 0.000606
2025-03-09 0.000113 0.000151 0.000200 0.000271 0.000371 0.000508 0.000716
2025-03-16 0.000097 0.000134 0.000184 0.000259 0.000371 0.000533 0.000792
2025-03-23 0.000088 0.000125 0.000178 0.000261 0.000389 0.000584 0.000913
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000121 0.000178 0.000270 0.000419 0.000656 0.001078
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000112 0.000169 0.000264 0.000424 0.000688 0.001179
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000101 0.000156 0.000251 0.000414 0.000694 0.001236
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000097 0.000153 0.000252 0.000429 0.000744 0.001379
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000094 0.000152 0.000258 0.000452 0.000813 0.001570
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000089 0.000147 0.000255 0.000461 0.000853 0.001710
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000086 0.000145 0.000259 0.000481 0.000921 0.001926
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000081 0.000141 0.000257 0.000491 0.000972 0.002114
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000078 0.000137 0.000257 0.000507 0.001036 0.002349
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000074 0.000134 0.000256 0.000518 0.001093 0.002579
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000069 0.000126 0.000245 0.000508 0.001100 0.002681
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.000067 0.000124 0.000247 0.000524 0.001170 0.002966
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000255 0.000558 0.001289 0.003410
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000062 0.000120 0.000250 0.000558 0.001322 0.003619
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000058 0.000112 0.000237 0.000539 0.001306 0.003678
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000056 0.000111 0.000238 0.000555 0.001381 0.004035
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000055 0.000111 0.000244 0.000582 0.001493 0.004541